Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.849400 3.398803 3.996410 4.691172 5.473024 6.322091 7.310179
2026-01-11 2.179971 2.922582 3.798570 4.893485 6.210188 7.727498 9.592273
2026-01-18 1.623478 2.447102 3.498441 4.903829 6.696407 8.869417 11.663010
2026-01-25 1.160340 1.980570 3.116117 4.737462 6.923418 9.698216 13.410125
2026-02-01 0.839008 1.627631 2.811372 4.610780 7.163032 10.537770 15.209840
2026-02-08 0.607305 1.346125 2.549115 4.491295 7.378716 11.339666 16.991541
2026-02-15 0.448739 1.138767 2.355507 4.433960 7.658538 12.228026 18.920977
2026-02-22 0.369405 1.052784 2.340113 4.640415 8.329037 13.686466 21.688100
2026-03-01 0.281222 0.918883 2.213941 4.645272 8.684155 14.703815 23.877653
2026-03-08 0.188238 0.735110 1.955222 4.385436 8.591579 15.047480 25.110829
2026-03-15 0.127680 0.601166 1.761364 4.206209 8.601130 15.528321 26.545409
2026-03-22 0.107553 0.573544 1.785685 4.430001 9.292830 17.078599 29.607100
2026-03-29 0.094213 0.563818 1.852526 4.750133 10.183734 18.999776 33.326687
2026-04-05 0.080150 0.544500 1.893354 5.022688 11.008768 20.852411 37.008051
2026-04-12 0.060039 0.487991 1.830666 5.076644 11.447444 22.104574 39.815204
2026-04-19 0.039116 0.407215 1.683648 4.932615 11.512644 22.748886 41.701914
2026-04-26 0.025061 0.342187 1.559716 4.818556 11.618764 23.457256 43.703444
2026-05-03 0.015410 0.286548 1.444671 4.705253 11.711531 24.138361 45.672923
2026-05-10 0.009541 0.245380 1.361130 4.652248 11.913345 25.007136 47.962246
2026-05-17 0.007540 0.236926 1.387500 4.870403 12.666318 26.850997 51.874052
2026-05-24 0.004685 0.208728 1.333168 4.878054 12.991475 27.957495 54.610311
2026-05-31 0.001884 0.161005 1.181912 4.609994 12.725810 28.006228 55.604004
2026-06-07 0.000685 0.127384 1.069684 4.424837 12.614511 28.317825 57.032628